Question 36·Hard·Probability and Conditional Probability
| Work status | Engineering | Marketing | Finance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Remote | 21 | 18 | x |
| On-site | 35 | 25 | 17 |
The table above shows the numbers of employees at a company, classified by department and by whether they work remotely or on-site.
If an employee is selected at random:
- The probability that the employee belongs to the Engineering department given that the employee works remotely is .
- The probability that the employee works remotely is .
What is the value of ?
(Express the answer as an integer)
For two-way table questions with probabilities, always translate the words into a fraction using counts from the appropriate row or column: for a conditional probability like , the denominator is the total count in the group. Write that fraction in terms of any unknowns, set it equal to the given probability, and solve the resulting equation. If the problem gives another probability (like an overall row/column probability), use it either to solve for the unknown or to quickly check that your solution is consistent before moving on.
Hints
Focus on the Remote row
"Given that the employee works remotely" means you should only consider the employees in the Remote row of the table when forming the probability.
Write the conditional probability as a fraction
In the Remote row, how many employees are in Engineering, and how many employees in total are remote? Use these two numbers to write as a fraction in terms of .
Create and solve an equation
Set your fraction for equal to and solve for by cross-multiplying. After you find , you can check it using the overall remote probability .
Desmos Guide
Graph both sides of the probability equation
In Desmos, enter y = 21/(39 + x) on one line and y = 3/7 on another line. These represent the conditional probability from the table and the given value, respectively.
Find the intersection to determine x
Use the graph to locate the point where the two curves intersect. Tap or click on the intersection point and read off its x-coordinate; that x-value is the one that makes the two probabilities equal and is the required value in the table.
Step-by-step Explanation
Interpret the conditional probability "Engineering given Remote"
The phrase "the employee belongs to the Engineering department given that the employee works remotely" means we only look at the Remote row.
- Number of remote Engineering employees:
- Total number of remote employees:
So the conditional probability is:
We are told this equals .
Set up and simplify the equation for x
Set the expression from the table equal to the given probability:
Cross-multiply:
Simplify each side:
Now you can solve for from .
Solve for x and check with the overall remote probability
From , divide both sides by :
Now check this with the second piece of information, .
- Total remote employees:
- Total employees:
So
which matches the given probability. Therefore, the value of is .