A percent increase from a model prediction uses the prediction as its starting amount. On a scatterplot, a dot gives the observed value, while the line of best fit gives the prediction at the same input. Use two marked points on the line to build its rule, then compare the candidates in Desmos. The largest vertical gap needn't be the largest percent.
Hints
- Hint 1
The slope of a line is its change in energy divided by its change in sunlight hours. Use the two open circles on the line, not two filled data dots, to find the rate for this model.
- Hint 2
A prediction comes from the line at a dot's sunlight amount, not from the dot itself. Once you have the line's rule, what does it predict at each of the four listed sunlight amounts?
- Hint 3
A percent increase divides the extra energy by the predicted energy, then multiplies by . A larger gap in kWh can be a smaller percent if it starts from a larger prediction.
Step-by-step
Compare each dot with the given line
Step 1Find the line's rate
The open circles at and lie on the line of best fit; the filled dots are observations. The slope is the change in energy divided by the change in sunlight hours. Type in Desmos. It prints , so the line predicts more kWh per additional hour.
- Step 2
Write a rule for the prediction
The line predicts kWh at hours and rises kWh per hour after that, so its prediction function is , where is sunlight hours. Type that rule in Desmos; its graph passes through both open circles. Don't fit a new line to the filled dots: the question already gives you one.
- Step 3
Get the four predicted amounts
Put the choices' sunlight hours in a list: type , then . Desmos shows kWh in that order. These are predictions from the line, not the energy amounts observed at the dots.
- Step 4
Set up the percent comparison
A percent increase compares the extra amount with the amount you started from:
Here, the predicted amount is the percent's base. For , that means . Dividing by the observed , or comparing kWh gaps without dividing, answers a different question.
- Step 5
Compare the percentages
In the same order as , type for the observed kWh, then . Desmos shows about . The greatest percent is the first entry, at hours: the observed kWh is about greater than the predicted kWh. Choice D.