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Question 41·Medium·Cross-Text Connections

Text 1

Dr. Chen monitored 20 high-elevation plots where the endangered Blue Star Lily grows. Her soil tests showed sharply reduced nitrogen and phosphorus compared with tests from 30 years ago, and the lily population in each plot had dropped by more than half in the same period. On the basis of these findings, Dr. Chen concluded that soil nutrient depletion is the primary driver of the species’ decline in the highlands.

Text 2

Conducting a separate study in the same region, Dr. Morales compared paired plots: one half of each pair was fenced to keep grazing goats out, while the other half remained open. After three growing seasons, fenced plots—even those with poor nutrient levels—contained three times as many Blue Star Lilies as their unfenced counterparts. Morales agrees that nutrient loss can stress the lilies, but he argues that heavy goat grazing is the more decisive factor in their recent decline.

Based on the texts, what would Dr. Morales in Text 2 most likely say about Dr. Chen’s conclusion in Text 1?