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Question 42·Hard·Cross-Text Connections

Text 1
Historian Mary Chen argues that the wave of rural‐to‐urban migration in the mid-nineteenth century was driven chiefly by repeated crop failures that pushed farm families off the land. Citing letters and diary entries that describe dwindling harvests and food shortages, Chen concludes that the promise of urban wages played only a secondary role; most migrants, she writes, "left out of desperation, not ambition."

Text 2
Economist David Lewis, examining tax rolls and factory payrolls from the same period, reaches a different verdict. According to his analysis, average factory wages rose nearly 40 percent between 1840 and 1850, while agricultural yields remained largely stable. Newspaper advertisements trumpeting "unprecedented" urban earnings appeared in dozens of rural weeklies. Lewis contends that "the allure of higher pay, not failed harvests, supplied the principal motive" for rural households to relocate.

Based on the texts, how would Lewis (Text 2) most likely evaluate Chen’s conclusion in Text 1?