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Question 123·200 Super-Hard SAT Reading Questions·Expression of Ideas

In a study of mailed municipal surveys, social scientist Lina Ortega found that reminder postcards increased response rates. A replication conducted in smaller towns found no overall increase; it did, however, find an increase among residents who had recently moved. Ortega’s original sample was disproportionately composed of recent movers. ______ the replication does not simply contradict the first study; it identifies a condition under which the postcards may be effective.

Which choice completes the text with the most logical transition?