Question 45·Hard·Two-Variable Data: Models and Scatterplots
A biologist measured the size of a bacterial culture at hourly intervals, starting at . The results are shown.
| Time, (hours) | Population, (thousands of cells) |
|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 1.8 |
| 2 | 3.2 |
| 3 | 5.8 |
| 4 | 10.5 |
Assuming the data can be modeled by an exponential function of the form , which of the following is closest to the hourly growth factor ?
For exponential growth questions using tables, do not try to fit a full equation first. Instead, quickly compute the ratio of each value to the previous one (later ÷ earlier). If the situation is exponential, those ratios should be nearly constant, and that common ratio is the growth factor. Use the cleanest pair of data points (often starting from ) to get a quick estimate, check that other ratios are similar, then pick the answer choice closest to that value.
Hints
Connect the table to the exponential model
In the model , what is when and the population is thousand cells?
Think about what represents
From one hour to the next, how does an exponential growth factor change the population: do you add a fixed amount or multiply by a fixed number?
Use ratios of successive populations
Compute , , and so on. These ratios should all be about the same; which answer choice is closest to that common value?
Desmos Guide
Compute ratios of consecutive populations
In Desmos, type the expressions 1.8/1, 3.2/1.8, 5.8/3.2, and 10.5/5.8 on separate lines. Look at the decimal values Desmos gives for each ratio.
Compare with answer choices
Compare the decimal values of those ratios to the four answer options (1.5, 1.6, 1.8, 2.0). Identify which option is closest to all of the ratios shown by Desmos; that option is the hourly growth factor.
Step-by-step Explanation
Use the meaning of the exponential model
The model is , where is the population (in thousands), is the initial population when , and is the hourly growth factor (the multiplier each hour). At , the table shows , so and the model becomes .
Relate the ratio of successive terms to the growth factor
For exponential models, the ratio of the population at one hour to the previous hour is the growth factor .
So, if the data fit an exponential model, the ratios , , , and should all be about the same, and that common value is .
Compute the ratios from the table
Use the given values (in thousands):
- From to : .
- From to : .
- From to : .
- From to : .
These ratios are all close to each other, so they are good estimates of .
Match the estimated growth factor to the choices
All of the ratios you computed are around , and this is the only answer choice that matches those values closely. Therefore, the hourly growth factor is approximately , so the correct choice is C.