Question 39·Hard·Two-Variable Data: Models and Scatterplots
A chemist measured the concentration (in milligrams per liter) of a substance remaining in a solution hours after it was mixed. The results are shown in the table.
| (hours) | (mg/L) |
|---|---|
| 0 | 120 |
| 1 | 96 |
| 2 | 77 |
| 3 | 62 |
| 4 | 50 |
Which of the following functions best models the relationship between and ?
For data modeling questions, first decide if the pattern looks linear (constant differences) or exponential (constant ratios) by quickly checking a couple of steps in the table. Once you know the type, read off the initial value from and estimate the growth or decay factor from one step (for exponentials) or the slope from the differences (for linear). Then eliminate any choices with the wrong starting value or wrong type, and finally test the remaining candidates by plugging in one or two -values from the table to see which matches most closely.
Hints
Look at how is changing
Compare the -values from one hour to the next. Are the changes roughly the same amount each time, or roughly the same percentage (or factor) each time?
Test for linear vs exponential
For a linear function, the differences between consecutive -values should be about the same. For an exponential function, the ratios should be about the same. Try both with the table.
Find the starting value and the factor
Use the value of when for the initial multiplier . Then, use one step (for example, from to ) to estimate the factor that is multiplied by each hour.
Compare to the choices
Once you know the initial value and the approximate factor per hour, match them to the form in the answer choices. Be sure both and agree with the data.
Desmos Guide
Enter the data as a table
In Desmos, add a table and enter the -values (0, 1, 2, 3, 4) in the first column and the corresponding -values (120, 96, 77, 62, 50) in the second column to create plotted data points.
Graph each model
In separate lines, type each option exactly as given: y = 120 - 17x, y = 120(0.80)^x, y = 120(0.75)^x, and y = 110(0.85)^x. Make sure all four graphs are turned on so you can compare them to the plotted points.
Compare curves to data points
Look at which graph passes closest to all the table points across the shown -values. The equation whose curve most closely aligns with the plotted data is the best model.
Step-by-step Explanation
Decide if the relationship looks linear or exponential
Look at how changes as increases.
Compute the differences between consecutive -values:
- From to : change is
- From to : change is
- From to : change is
- From to : change is
These differences are not constant, so a linear model (like ) is not a good fit. This suggests an exponential model, where the ratio between consecutive values is roughly constant.
Check for a constant ratio between -values
For an exponential model , the ratio is approximately the same each step.
Compute the ratios:
These are all very close to , so the data are well modeled by an exponential function with a decay factor (base) of about per hour.
Identify the initial value and write the exponential form
In an exponential model , is the initial value when .
From the table, when , , so .
Together with the decay factor , the model should look like
Among the choices, this matches the option , so that is the best model for the data.