Question 33·Hard·Two-Variable Data: Models and Scatterplots
A chemist measured the concentration (in micrograms per liter) of a certain substance in a solution at equally spaced time intervals (in hours). The data are shown.
| 0 | 5.0 |
| 1 | 7.3 |
| 2 | 10.7 |
| 3 | 15.7 |
| 4 | 23.1 |
Based on the data, which type of model would most appropriately describe the relationship between and ?
For questions asking which model type fits data best, quickly scan for patterns: if equal x-steps give equal y-changes, think linear; if the differences themselves change at a steady rate, think quadratic; if the growth slows down over time, think logarithmic; and if each step multiplies y by about the same factor (differences grow faster and faster), think exponential. Doing a quick difference check and then, if needed, a ratio check lets you choose the model type efficiently without heavy calculations.
Hints
Look at how C changes for equal time steps
The times increase by 1 hour each row. Focus on how the concentration changes from one hour to the next.
Compare differences first
Compute the change in between each pair of consecutive times. Are those changes about the same, or do they keep increasing or decreasing?
Then compare ratios
After looking at differences, also compare the ratio of each value to the one before it. Which seems more consistent: the differences or the ratios?
Desmos Guide
Enter the data in a table
In Desmos, add a table. Enter the time values in the column (0, 1, 2, 3, 4) and the concentration values in the column (5.0, 7.3, 10.7, 15.7, 23.1).
Test a linear model
In a new expression line, type y1 ~ m x1 + b to perform a linear regression. Look at how well the line fits the plotted points and note the value (closer to 1 means a better fit).
Test a quadratic model
In another line, type y1 ~ a x1^2 + b x1 + c to perform a quadratic regression. Compare this curve’s fit and value with the linear model.
Test an exponential model
Next, type y1 ~ a b^x1 to perform an exponential regression. Compare how closely this curve passes through the points and its value to the previous models; identify which model type has the best fit.
Step-by-step Explanation
Check how time changes
Look at the values in the table: . They increase by hour each time, so the time intervals are equal. This lets us compare how the concentration changes over equal time steps.
Compute first differences in concentration
Find how much increases each hour.
- From to :
- From to :
- From to :
- From to :
These increases are not constant; they are getting larger. That means a linear model (which needs a constant difference) is not appropriate. Also, the second differences (like , , ) are not constant either, so it does not fit a neat quadratic pattern.
Compare ratios between consecutive concentrations
Now compare ratios of consecutive values.
These ratios are all very close to one another, meaning each hour the concentration is multiplied by almost the same factor (about ). This is a strong sign of a multiplicative growth pattern instead of an additive one.
Match the pattern to the correct model type
On the SAT, remember these quick checks:
- Linear: equal steps give equal differences in .
- Quadratic: equal steps give differences in that change at a constant rate (second differences constant).
- Logarithmic: increases are large at first and then slow down over time.
- Exponential: equal steps give values that change by a nearly constant ratio (multiply by about the same factor each time).
Here, the differences are not constant, the second differences are not constant, and the increases are getting larger, not smaller. But the ratios between consecutive values are nearly constant, so the most appropriate model is exponential (choice B).