Question 18·Hard·Two-Variable Data: Models and Scatterplots
A battery-powered lamp was left on, and its brightness was measured every 30 minutes. The results are shown.
| Time elapsed (minutes) | 0 | 30 | 60 | 90 | 120 | 150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brightness (lumens) | 800 | 680 | 578 | 492 | 419 | 357 |
Scientists model the brightness (in lumens) at time (in minutes) with an exponential function of the form
where is the initial brightness and is a constant decay factor.
Which value of is most consistent with the data?
For exponential models given in table form, first match the time step in the table to the time unit in the exponent; here, each 30-minute increase corresponds to multiplying by the constant factor . Quickly compute the ratio of a later value to the previous one (for example, ), and that ratio is . Optionally check with one or two more consecutive ratios to confirm the pattern, then choose the answer choice equal to that factor. This avoids writing full equations for many points and saves time.
Hints
Connect k to the table
Look at how the exponent changes when time increases by 30 minutes. How does that tell you what happens to the brightness every 30 minutes?
Use consecutive data points
Pick two consecutive times in the table, like 0 and 30 minutes. How can you use the brightness values at those times to find the factor that the brightness is multiplied by?
Form a ratio for one time step
Write an equation using the model for and , then solve for . After you find a value for from that pair, check if the same factor appears between other consecutive brightness values in the table.
Match your value to an answer choice
Once you have the numerical value of , compare it to the answer choices and pick the one that is equal (or closest, if there is rounding).
Desmos Guide
Compute the decay factor from the first two points
In a Desmos expression line, type 680/800 and look at the decimal result. This is the multiplicative factor between 0 and 30 minutes, which corresponds to in the model.
Confirm the factor with other data pairs
In new lines, type 578/680, 492/578, 419/492, and 357/419. Notice that each result is very close to the number you got from 680/800, confirming that this is the consistent decay factor per 30 minutes.
Match to the answer choices
Compare the decimal value you see in Desmos for 680/800 with the four answer choices and select the choice that matches this value.
Step-by-step Explanation
Understand what k means in the model
The model is
Here, increases in steps of 30 minutes in the table (0, 30, 60, ...). When increases by 30 minutes, the exponent increases by 1, so the brightness is multiplied by each 30-minute step.
So is the multiplicative factor per 30 minutes:
- Brightness after 30 minutes = (brightness at 0 minutes) .
- Brightness after 60 minutes = (brightness at 30 minutes) , and so on.
Use the first two data points to express k
From the table:
- At minutes, brightness is lumens.
- At minutes, brightness is lumens.
From the model:
- .
- .
But the table also tells us , so:
Solve for :
This fraction can be simplified, but we will compare it to other data first.
Check that this factor matches other 30-minute steps
To see if the same factor applies for other 30-minute intervals, divide each brightness by the brightness 30 minutes earlier:
- From 30 to 60 minutes:
- From 60 to 90 minutes:
- From 90 to 120 minutes:
- From 120 to 150 minutes:
If you compute these, each ratio is very close to . That confirms that is the correct per-30-minute decay factor for this data.
Simplify the fraction and choose the matching option
Now simplify
And
So the decay factor is , which matches answer choice C) 0.85.