A linear model has a constant change each year, even when the facts compare demands by percentages. Convert each calendar year to years after the starting year, then turn the two comparisons into equations for the same line. A matched-list regression in Desmos can find the line’s rate and starting value. The key trap is treating a percent increase as a fixed number of gallons.
Hints
- Hint 1
The input is years after 2015, not the calendar year itself. Subtract 2015 from each year before putting it into .
- Hint 2
For a 12% increase, the later demand is 112% of the earlier demand. Which demand is the earlier one, and what multiplier represents 112%?
- Hint 3
A linear function can be written , where is the yearly change and is the demand at . Turn each comparison into a condition on the same and .
Step-by-step
Translate both facts and fit the line
Step 1Convert the years to inputs
The input counts years after 2015, so subtract 2015 from each year. The inputs for 2017, 2019, 2018, and 2023 are , , , and , respectively. Using calendar years as inputs would shift the line.
- Step 2
Write the line in terms of its unknowns
A linear function changes by the same amount each year, so write . Here is the yearly change in millions of gallons, and is the demand in 2015. This gives and for the first comparison.
- Step 3
Translate the percent comparison
A percent increase multiplies the earlier demand; it isn't a fixed increase in gallons. Since , the 2019 demand is times the 2017 demand:
Subtract the right side to make this a condition equal to :
- Step 4
Translate the second comparison
The demand in 2023 is 5 million gallons less than twice the 2018 demand, not twice the 2023 demand. Using and gives
Subtract twice the 2018 demand so this condition equals :
- Step 5
Fit both conditions together in Desmos
Type . The lists pair the with the percent condition and the with the 2023 condition; asks Desmos to find one and one that fit both. Under PARAMETERS, it shows and .
- Step 6
Read the exact coefficients and choose the rule
Add and on separate Desmos lines and use their fraction buttons. They give and . Put those values into : the town’s modeled demand, in millions of gallons, is . Choice D.